Puretick Forex Converter

SÓLO ENTRE UN COMERCIO LARGO EN ABRIR .10 PARA ABRIR .20 SÓLO ENTREGUE UN CORTOCIRCUITO EN ABIERTO -10 PARA ABRIR - .20 NO TARDE ENTRADAS. Mira a FADE THE GAP. Si usted está en un comercio y el precio está en contra de usted y cruza el abierto, es el momento de considerar salir. Si usted está en un comercio y el precio está en contra de usted y entra en la zona opuesta, es el momento de considerar salir y revertir su posición. Mira un gráfico de 5 minutos hoy con la zona de compra. Comercios simples (marco de tiempo de 5 min, 10min, 15min, no importa el nivel de precios de apertura de la zona hace) ser largo sobre el abierto, ser corto por debajo del abierto Comprar sólo 100 partes en la debilidad del mercado (oversold) y dejar correr durante el día. (Se desvanecen el rally y la venta de operaciones a muy corto plazo) Mira para el fondo doble en espía para pistas de reversa, busque velas que no se cierran en la parte inferior del rango, pero cerrando la mitad de camino en 15 min chart No negociar agaisnt la tendencia cuando ( Mercado abierto abajo 100 puntos o para arriba) Parte inferior del mercado (teoría de Grenville), divergencia alcista: yhoo fin. (Ir a) disminución de avance. Nyse (nuevo alto 40 --- nuevos mínimos 740 divergencia alcista si 600) también nasdaq nuevo alto 30 nuevos mínimos 420 (no tan alto como nyse dice que la tecnología está demostrando la fuerza con respecto al mercado Busque las barras de la reversión Utilice la manzana o el rimm Entero Números para posiciones de entrada o salida Utilice cartas de vela configuradas también para confirmación Siempre trazar líneas horizontales al abrir Esperar 30 minutos antes de desvanecer la brecha Stockastics y RSI pueden ser sobrecompra o sobreventa en un mercado de tendencias fuertes: ) No preste atención a la señal de sobreventa en stochast, porque las acciones pueden seguir bajando, pero preste atención a la señal de sobrecompra en su lugar cuando el sector hasta grande para el día (tendencia) no preste atención a la señal de sobrecompra en stochast. Para sobrevolar la señal de entrada potencial también considerar ATR si el rango pasado del día Utilice sectores fuertes y débiles para encontrar candidatos adecuados comprar en stochastichs RSI sobrevendido por una recompensa muy baja, pero una mayor probabilidad de éxito antes de comercio siempre definir los tres niveles de precios: , El precio a las salidas si el comercio va en contra, el precio para salir si el comercio va bien riesgo recompensa por lo menos 2: 1 Después de entrar en un comercio obtener la parada para romper el nivel uniforme Poner el mismo beneficio en una cuenta diferente regularmente no para negociar Watch for market bottom , En el sector, o stock con una confirmación en volumen, en algún momento la venta de pánico no es necesario (línea aérea. Sector financiero julio de 2008: oportunidad perdida porque esperaba la venta de pánico y escuchó demasiados comentarios de mercado) ADX por encima de la tendencia 30 después de ADX por debajo de 20 mercado oscilador agitado mejor para overbougth de la selección oversold lugar línea de tendencia horizontal en los osciladores en 70/80/20/30 D (MA AXP) Cambiar de acciones hermanas en el sector cuando se administra un comercio abierto (Informado tradevideo) No tiene expectativas sobre (acciones) El comportamiento del mercado (aapl oportunidad perdida 20 mover) no puede estar bien todo el tiempo en la dirección del mercado y probablemente estará equivocado 50 del tiempo, pero una vez mal salir. (Que sigue siendo un buen comercio) es cómo lidiar con El comercio de pérdida que hace la diferencia entre un error y una buena decisión comercial Cuando detecte un buen punto de entrada no dude Si no puede comprar una acción en la oferta es porque va hacia arriba, si la acción va y usted puede fácilmente Comprar en la oferta es porque va a bajar y se perderá dinero (UNG) Watch para la barra de cierre de la gama, ¿dónde la barra de cerrar exactamente NBR gama estrecha bar: comprador y vendedor son casi iguales en el poder sólo es importante después de varias normales La barra de gran alcance fuerte giro está a la mano después de varias barras de disminución, busque el stock a su vez a la parte superior después de avanzar varios bar buscar el stock a su vez a la parte inferior comprar por encima de la alta de una NBR después de varios bar caída vender a continuación La baja de una NBR después de varias barras de avance (comprar una NBR después de una barra de varios declinar si se cierra por encima de la apertura) (vender una NBR corta después de avanzar varias barras, si se está cerrando por debajo de la apertura) Una brecha al alza de una posición de sobreventa vender por debajo de la baja de una brecha a la baja de una posición overboght comprar el primer pullback después de una brecha de alza de una condición de sobreventa vender el primer rally después de una brecha hacia abajo de una condición de sobrecompra si la acción ha gapped up Y es capaz de operar a un nuevo máximo diario después de 30 minutos de comercio la fuerza demostrada en la apertura fue real RETRACCIONES: son directrices no sólo puntos exacta si una experiencia de stock un retroceso superficial (40 o menos) se considera que el movimiento anterior Fuerte, como resultado el movimiento de contador debe ser fuerte si una acción experimenta un retracement profundo (60 o más grande) el movimiento anterior se considera débil, y como resultado el movimiento contrario debe ser débil el primer retracement después de un movimiento ascendente fuerte es buyable Casi 100 del tiempo (el primer pullback de un nuevo alto es típicamente comprable) el primer retracement después de un movimiento hacia abajo fuerte es sellable cerca de 100 del tiempo un retracement 40 después de un avance fuerte es seguido típicamente por un movimiento a un nuevo alto un 40 después de un fuerte retroceso después de un fuerte retroceso después de un fuerte avance a menudo conduce a un movimiento con una probabilidad de 50/50 de superar el máximo anterior (lo mismo se aplica al revés) un retroceso de 60 después de un El avance fuerte a menudo conduce a un movimiento con una probabilidad de 1 en 3 de superar el anterior máximo (lo mismo se aplica al revés) un retroceso de 100 contragosto (doble fondo potencial) es típicamente seguido por un rebote de 50 a 60 Por una disminución de 50 a 60 PRINCIPALES HORARIOS DE REVERSIÓN: 9,50 - 10,10 (una población que se mueve en esta zona horaria de inversión se bloqueará o invertirá y bajará a la cabeza) 10,25 - 10,35 11,15 - 11,30 ( 11,15-2,15 silencioso) 12,00 - 12,15 (movimiento importante sólo cuando el período anterior es bastante) 1,15 - 1,30 (reevaluación posible de altos o bajos) 2,15 - 2,30 3, (El tiempo de reversión coincide con el cierre del mercado de bonos) 3,30 volumen climático después de un fuerte avance o declive, indica que una reversión de precios a corto plazo está a mano el volumen se considera climático si excede dos veces el volumen diario promedio sobre el Últimos 10 días 20MA y 200MA parte de cada gráfico independientemente de los promedios de tiempo de movimiento móvil no son confiables cuando las poblaciones están en trincheras desordenadas laterales subiendo 10 20 50 MA el stock está en una tendencia alcista como resultado de las disminuciones tienden a ser de corta duración y presente La oportunidad de compra decente disminuye 10 20 50 MA la acción está en una tendencia a la baja como resultado los mítines tendrán que ser de corta duración y presentar una oportunidad decente corto Diario 10,20,50,100,200 MA Semanal 20,50,100,200 MA Hora, 15 Min., 5Min. 20,200, MA 1 y 2 Min, 10,20 MA acciones fuertes (en tendencia alcista) tienden a repuntar después de experimentar 3 a 5 días después de 3 a 5 bar caída comprar una acción fuerte cuando las acciones cotizan por encima de un bar alto antes de 3 a 5 bar avance venden corto un stock débil debajo de la barra anterior Las existencias bajas que se mueven a un nuevo máximo diario después de 30 minutos de negociación tienden a ser fuertes a través de los ECN del día. ISLD (público en general), ARCA, INCA, permiten rellenos extremadamente rápidos, las cotizaciones de ecn son reales, demuestran que el tamaño entero, en una acción rápidamente que se levanta puede ser difícil de comprar en o debajo del mercado Después de llenar una orden en su precio fijado antes de que deben cambiar fijaron la cotización o llenan una orden adicional El sistema estupendo de DOT utilizó para NYSE mucho más liquidez pero más lento Durante el impulso ascendente el tamaño de la oferta tenderá a moverse hacia abajo y crecer más profundo mientras que la oferta Aumentará a medida que cada nivel se adelgaza: La oferta crece más profundo / La oferta crece más delgada Durante el impulso hacia abajo. En el número de creadores de mercado que ofrecen el aumento de la oferta del fabricante del mercado, (movimiento de la moda en el sentido de las agujas del reloj) el tamaño de la oferta tiende a moverse hacia abajo y crecer más profundo, mientras que el tamaño de la oferta aumentará a medida que cada nivel disminuya. 10 creadores de mercado se alinearon una oferta interior y solamente 2 en la oferta interior en un ambiente fuerte del mercado buscaríamos la acción para moverse más arriba - en un reloj inferior débil para el tamaño que es negociado en la oferta o en el reloj de la pregunta Para las recargas y las intenciones de enmascaramiento El creador de mercado que es consistenly el último a dejar la oferta interior o la oferta es el AX Las entradas largas son generalmente cuando las acciones negocian sobre el día anterior 8217s alto. Mi parada inicial de protección será en el nivel actual del día, en el nivel del día anterior, o en algún otro punto lógico menor que 5 desde mi punto de entrada. Las paradas se elevarán para bloquear los beneficios a medida que la acción se mueva a mi favor. Las entradas cortas son por lo general cuando las acciones cotizan por debajo del día anterior. Mi parada inicial de protección será en el día actual de alta 8217s, el día anterior 8217s alto, o algún otro punto lógico that8217s menos de 5 desde mi punto de entrada. Las paradas se reducirán para bloquear los beneficios a medida que la acción se mueve a mi favor. (Mike del comerciante) Normalmente usted no consigue una parte inferior triple en un intraday de SPY 5 min. chart (31/7/08) usted puede por lo tanto vender corto en la tercera retest o la pierna abajo hasta el final de la sesión Busque el cierre de 2 bar abajo (O más arriba para el rally) los 200 o 50 mA. Señal de confirmación de una posible inversión de tendencia a corto plazo (stocktock) Tenga cuidado con el patrón de doble fondo en SPY oportunidad de compra intradía y doble top para la oportunidad de venta (60 min.) A corto. Busque acciones débiles que cuando el mercado como un gran movimiento hacia arriba, no participan (yahoo 30/7/08). Evite negociar (posición grande) durante el mediodía Busque el volumen grande del selloff para el giro posible alrededor del pivote (GTE 29/7/08) (el vídeo negociado vivo informado) Mire el final de la formación de la vela de los meses (martillo. Los índices señalan la tendencia bajista martillo del mercado bajista fracasado) (y las existencias) en el gráfico mensual de pronóstico (snp500trader) No ser capaz de aferrarse a los ganadores No ser capaz de reducir las pérdidas No es lo mucho que hacer que es importante, Suelto cuando pierde, pequeñas pérdidas son la marca de la sala de los comerciantes profesionales, principiante puede perder continuamente pequeño que se necesita demasiada disciplina Juzgando cómo frecuentemente se pierde de la misma manera es una mejor manera de medir su crecimiento Compañía despedir a las personas esto puede sonar mal Noticias para la empresa, pero muchos lo ven como el método de corte de costos y una forma para la empresa para mejorar la línea de fondo en la carretera Los datos de empleo malo, sí malo para la economía, mal si la economía se puso peor los federales pueden reducir las tasas o en Por lo menos no aumentarlos, que hará que el rally del mercado Gran institución se especializan por tener sólo uno o más comerciantes de un sector de comercio, y convertirse en bueno en lo que desea encontrar el apoyo y los niveles de resistencia en el marco de tiempo más largo y aislar los puntos de entrada en el Más corto Corte el tamaño hacia abajo en las existencias grandes ma bidu goog isrg fslr a 50 partes y ganar experiencia en el mercado. DOW abajo 100, SNP abajo 10 (10) Trampas: Su oferta consigue golpeada (usted compra) debajo del precio de mercado actual Su oferta consigue golpeado sobre precio de mercado (usted vende) Si usted ve el mercado como monstruo hacia fuera para conseguirle, su La decisión reflejará esto y será tímida y carecerá de convicción, y resolverá tomar ganancias pronto (tarjeta maestra) ver el mercado como el campo de toda posibilidad raramente entendida por sus partícipes Es importante no ser afectado por la salida de un comercio, En la forma en que sentimos y pensamos, el resultado no es tan importante como el proceso Candlesticks (siempre un patrón de vela individual debe ser visto en el concurso de la imagen técnica surronding) Para una vela blanca larga tener sentido el cuerpo real debe ser 3 Veces el día anterior una vela blanca larga nos da apoyo a los 50 dentro de su cuerpo real, por lo que pullbacks cerca de los 50 retracementof el cuerpo largo se puede utilizar como zona de compra después de la banda de acongestion la tendencia del mercado debe reanudar en la misma dirección (wacth para el tamaño De las velas blancas y negras) si la abertura está debajo del punto medio del cuerpo real blanco anterior podría ser un escenario bajista Hacer girar la acción del precio bajo poco así que combinando el volumen con él podemos determinar si hay acumulación o distribución un Doji que emerge después de un Tendencia de tendencia alcista o hacia abajo como una mayor posibilidad de un giro en el mercado (transición), si el alto del doji se supera entonces la tendencia alcista del mercado debe continuar si hay un doji después de un rally y el mercado sigue fuerte es una indicación alcista mirada donde El doji apperars en atrend si el mercado acaba de empezar a subir hay una menor probabilidad de una cima si el mercado acaba de comenzar a bajar los precios pueden seguir descendiendo doji se hizo más importante después de un mercado de sobrerrequisitos o sobrevendidos doji se convierte en resistencia El promedio móvil para el comerciante de futuros es el 65 ma) de alta onda después de una tendencia a la baja o el mercado de tendencia alcista ha perdido su sentido de la tendencia antes de la dirección en peligro Martillo debe appera después de la caída significativa tu tienen significación martillo es un indicador de reversión como tal debería tener una tendencia hacia abajo a invertir Martillo que aparecen después de una caída de dos o tres días no tiene ninguna nota de importancia que puede estar vendiendo en un rally del martillo, como tal el martillo puede fallar y el mercado puede volver a probar su apoyo si la prueba es exitosa hay entonces un El hombre colgante la sombra inferior larga puede parecer un indicador alcista que refleja el interés del buing sin embargo la acción del verdugo demuestra que el mercado ha caído la tendencia ascendente anterior puede estar en el proceso de cambiar la espera para que la confermation vea Si el próximo cierre de la sesión es bajo el hombre colgante verdadero cuerpo la estrella Shooting tradicional debe appera después de una tendencia alcista para tener importancia bajista, después de una tendencia alcista menor es poco importante el martillo tradicional sombras más largas deben aparecer durante una tendencia bajista para tener significado alcista, después Una menor tendencia a la baja es poco importante siempre busque la tendencia anterior antes de actuar si las sombras superiores es pequeño es todavía un hombre colgando el cuerpo real puede ser negro o blanco Velas duales la cubierta de nubes oscuras segundo período de sesiones, debe cerrar en el punto medio de la Antes de la vela blanca si no está incompleta esperar para confermation el patrón de perforación es el opuesto de la cubierta de nube oscura Harami lo contrario de una hamburguesa línea harami normalmente largo cuerpo real seguido de un cuerpo real muy pequeño (cerca del centro del primer cuerpo real ) Si después de un rally el segundo cuerpo real del harami está cerca del extremo superior del primer cuerpo real, el aumento impar que el markert consolidará en lugar de invertir (harami de precio alto) y viceversa para bajar la tendencia menor son las sombras y la más corta El cuerpo real de la segunda vela mejor será la señal, si la segunda vela es un doji en lugar de un pequeño cuerpo real aumentar la probabilidad de inversión para un harami el primer cuerpo real tiene que ser muy largo en relación con los cuerpos precidir no van en contra de las tendencias Hasta que la última ventana se llena en un cierre Estrella del Doji que se derrumba. Necesitamos una tendencia alcista para revertir, una sesión de doji que las lagunas en la sesión anterior, y otra vela negra que se mueve bajo el doji, mientras que similar en apariencia a la estrella Doji colapso, el doji de gapping es un patrón de continuación bajista que se producen durante una tendencia bajista. Reloj QQQQ se aproxima a números redondos (y .50) para reacción sup / resRSI por encima de 30, stoch por encima de 20, MACD crossover (15 min. Vela). Pantalla de los componentes más fuertes de Dow para el día (ganadores superiores) en relación con el índice, para el juego posible. Wacht todos los 4 índices para el patrón de conferencias (iwm espía dia qqqq) 5 min. CandleCalculate los puntos del pivote diario, montlhy, anualmente. Observe el ETF inverso para que la conferencia salga o baje. SampP 1 vela 5 min (atr) 850 aprox rango máximo1 vela 1 min. (Atr) 450 aprox alcance máximo 200 m. a. En un 5 min. Objetivo de la carta de la vela para la venta, a menos que el mercado realmente alcista (uso trenlines m. a. sup / res). Con RUT utilizar más líneas horizontales en lugar (menos) trendlinesRSI por debajo de 50 SKF, DXD (gráfico diario) puede ir más alto en el mercado de sobreventa (Muathe) 15 min. Barra de la vela por lo menos 16-20 millones5 min. Barra de la vela por lo menos 5-5 millón (11/06/08 EQ) para el buen volumen confermation100 risk50 precio entry45 stop100 / 50 20 compara los componentes de DOW al índice de Dow para encontrar fuerza relativa Utilice ATR mismo día no anterior closeConferm divergencia del macd en 5min 2days ATRGap tamaño guidlines (ver precios históricos en yahoo) SnP emini cerrar 4 puntos 7 romper Dow emini cerrar 40 70 ruptura Nasdaq emini cerrar 10 18 breakaway Russell e mini cerrar 2 3,5 puntos breakaway Marcar la noche a la mañana el comercio de alta y baja (futuros) upgap Tick ​​300 ruptura / menos entonces 300 probabilidad de cierre gap tick -300 o más romper menos de -300 probabilidad de cerrar TRIN se convierte en bajista y debido a una inversión cuando las lecturas alcanzan por encima del nivel de 1.80-2.00 en el día después de una anterior Abajo con las lecturas TRIN extremadamente altas. Prepárate para revertir mucho tiempo al ver estas lecturas. El indicador TICK se basa en la estadística calculada a partir de la red de todos los UP-TICKs menos todos los DOWN-TICKs en un punto dado durante el día en NYSE. Si 500 acciones avanzaron en su último comercio o TICK, 200 disminuyeron y 500 no cambiaron, el TICK sería 300 (500 menos 200). El TICK de cierre se basa en el último comercio del día. Las estadísticas de TICK están disponibles para el NYSE, Nasdaq y AMEX. El complejo de indicador High 5 usa sólo los números de NYSE. El TRIN es corto para el INdex de TRaders. Es un indicador contrarian para detectar los niveles de sobrecompra y sobreventa en el mercado. Debido a su método de cálculo, el TRIN tiene una relación inversa con el mercado. Generalmente, un TRIN ascendente es bajista y un TRIN descendente es alcista. El TRIN es la relación de avance / disminución dividida por la relación de volumen de avance / disminución de volumen. La fórmula para calcularlo es: (Si el Tick se incrementa más de 1000, el mercado probablemente se revertirá pronto porque se ha convertido en más de lo que se compró. Lo contrario también es cierto. Si el Tick se cae por debajo de -1000, el mercado probablemente se invertirá porque se ha convertido en muy sobreventa. Si sucede que es largo cuando el Tick comienza a subir más de 1000 o corto cuando el Tick comienza a caer por debajo de -1000, es necesario Comenzar a aligerar en sus posiciones o cerrarlos completamente en la anticipación de una inversión. El Trin también tiene una relación inversa con la Garrapata. En contraste con el Tick, un Trin ascendente señala que los Bears están empezando a tomar el control. Del mismo modo, una caída Trin nos dice que los Bulls están tomando el control. TICK entre -300 y 300 ambiente de mercado neutral (las existencias que negocian en un uptick iguales las existencias que negocian en un downtick) 1000 bullishness excesivo seguido generalmente por una inversión al downside-1000 bearishness excesivo común en mercados de oso Favors la posición larga intraday cuando TICK está levantando Corto intradía es caer largos intradía cuando TICK llega a extremos de - 1000 o mejor cortocircuitos intradía 1000 o mejor. (Viceversa) reducir el juego intradía en el lado largo --- por encima de 1 mantain vender lateral biasDeclining intraday TRIN alcista (con un buy-side sesgo) paso Up intraday jugar en el lado largo --- por debajo de 1 mantain comprar lado biasTRIN por debajo de 1 entorno de mercado intraday sano 1 más arriesgado. Ambiente propenso a vender o disminuir. Debajo del mercado .35 está en la tienda para un pullback --- vender todo el tiempo y buscar el potencial en el lado cortoAbove 1.50 pesimismo abunde mercado invertirá al alza en la mañana. Un TRIN de cierre de 1,50 o superior combinado con un TICK de cierre de -500 o más incrementa el impar para una apertura positiva el siguiente díaNLs (nuevos mínimos). Aumento de nuevos mínimos: la presión de la venta y el entorno marcador difícil. Diminuir nuevos mínimos: comprar interés incresing, mejorar la condición del mercado se emergeDaily NLs less40 positivegreater 40 (a 60) período neutral para el mercado --- mercado un poco fatigado --- dentro y fuera rápidamente de la posición diario NLs mayor 60 (por debajo de 80) Enfermo mercado problemático mercado NL diario mayor 80 mercado de oso env. find oportunidad de cortocircuito solamente (comerciante del día maestro --capra / velez) trin mayor 1.20 que vende sesgo trin 1less trin el 40 positivegreater 40 (a 60) período neutral para el mercado --- mercado a Poco fatigado --- dentro y fuera rápidamente de la posición. NL diarias mayores de 60 años (por debajo de 80) enfermos mercado problemático. NL diarias mayores 80 env. Mercado env. Encuentre la oportunidad de cortocircuito solamente (comerciante del día maestro --capra / velez) (compra 2 contrato de opciones / opciones de la compra de la compra en la venta extrema apagado, venta del pánico) el viernes cheque el gráfico semanal para las formaciones de la vela. Sup / rescorrelation tnx spxtry comprar 50 partes cuando el uso más incómodo el exponencial m. a. En FXtick -700 trin 1,5 comprar en el cierre de día abajo (apertura de la siguiente) al comercio de las noticias diarias del cheque del euro (dailyfx) mirar los futuros e-mini después de las horas de negociación por continuaciones de patrón que no aparecen en el índice de efectivo. Duerma lo suficiente 6,30 horas mejor para el día de comercio. Cuando esté largo y detenido, considere invertir. Chech opciones diarias en papel bolsabuy primero tirar de nuevo a m. a. En volumen bajo m. a. Debe estar en el sector de la tendencia hasta 2 un plussell descending5 / 10/20 / ma rallies en el volumen de volumen 1000 programa de computadora es buyng el mercado (puede invertir y ir corto después) Dow 26 30 o -26 -30 comprar o vender el programa en actiontick -200 Dow abrir el mercado se lleva a cabo por sólo pocas acciones que puede ir shortuse atr mismo día no anterior. (Largo: Tome el beneficio: al momento dellinserimento il valore essere superiore al prezzo di mercatoStop pérdida: al momento del inserto il valore essere inferer al prezzo di mercato) -300 es probable que cierre osciladores tendencia de sobrecompra hasta comprar signo. Trabajos en la muestra de la venta de la inmersión. No trabaje la tendencia de la sobreventa abajo de la muestra de la compra. No wok vender signo. Trabajar en el rally. No compre romper el hueco si el primer 15/5 / min. Barra es larga (demasiado impulso) Utilice 5/15 / min. (3 menos altos consegutive compran cuando la vela rompe el palillo precedente de la vela highspecialize en sectores, 1 acción, 1 mercado, foco foco focusdefine siempre: puntos de entrada parciales o totales - 2 entrada una exit1) salida en un profit1) salida en un Loss1) entrada parcial o totalask lo que es mi sideex hacia abajo: wfc 2827,5527,27Take pulso del mercado cada 30 minutos para ver si snp es hacia arriba o hacia abajo de la lectura anterior, y cuánto, buscar ma Y el comercio por encima o por debajo de / por encima de corto por debajo de escribir todos los días m. a. Para snp y stockswacht hacia fuera para snp emini picos hacia arriba o hacia abajo con thin marginemini (comprar.) Tirar hacia atrás en m / a - bollinger - anf fibs retrace (corto.) Emini snp volumen primero 5 min. Barras si menos de 10000 contratos día agitado delante, línea del drenaje en el gráfico de la línea 10000use x los promedios de las señales de la compra y de la venta no importan tanto cuando hay choppiness / la ayuda y la resistencia son mejor indicatorwacth hacia fuera para las banderas del oso, banderas del toro, top doble, , La cabeza y el hombro en un 5 min. Gráfico en el índice si la apertura de una brecha de alza es el precio más bajo negociado durante los primeros 30 minutos --- romper gapif el abierto de un lado hacia abajo es el más alto de los primeros 30 min --- gap gap gap separada hasta vender en la fuerza Y se desvanecen la brecha (gs, ms) buscan la distribución de acumulación / barra cerca rango superior o rango inferior playbox x currencywait para confermation pendientes tapas manspinning velas de onda alta no tienen implicaciones comerciales en un ambiente no tendenteDoji loose effectivenes en el mercado bottomsuse etf more on down Días (y arriba) stock chart (stocktiger) con rsi -20 sobreventa comprar rsi tendencia alcista cuando cruces por encima de 20 abajo tendencia vender rsi cruces por debajo de 80 de sobrecompra conditionbreak out: 2/3, 3/4 de un triángulo patternon wesd expir semana largo. Mirrow que el mercado está haciendo por mucho tiempo. Abajo línea de tendencia shortDraw en cada marco de tiempo (líneas de tendencia interna y externa) 5min. 30 la gama de la abertura drow linesConference de la tendencia en el frameTry múltiple del tiempo para ser largo sobre el cortocircuito abierto shortbuy último día / primer día / y midle del mes rally de lunes (L. Williams) más grande el pos. El más rápido usted tiene que ser losslook de las pérdidas para la formación de las cuñas para arriba y down2pm / 10pm reversaltrader X 5 min. Bar gap play cuando las tendencias del mercado suben o bajan - 200--10 puntos bar en e-mini muy raras buscan desvanecerse después en volúmenes bajos con más frecuencia entre sectores, acciones hermanas cuando están en una posición abierta para acciones que se aproximan a números cero Aapl). Utilice el spread de bonos como indicador líder de FX, diferencial de tipos de interés, cuando el diferencial de rendimiento se incremente a favor de una moneda (ex: ndz / jpy) que la moneda se apreciará frente a otros. No escuche comentarios de noticias de ningún tipo durante el mercado abierto. Preste atención a 1min.5min. Empinada de los mítines y vender para la anticipación de cambio de tendencia, dibujar líneas de tendencia cerca de la gama de impulso de acción de precio relativo. ADX sube declinaciones de MACD buscan la caída de precios El rango de comercio extenso dentro de una barra indica volatilidad, que a menudo es precursora de la inversión de tendencia. La velocidad y la distancia del movimiento anterior afectarán la importancia de la resistencia y el apoyo, y la probabilidad de romper el estocástico: a) comprar cuando ambas líneas están por encima del nivel de sobreventa y risingb) comprar cuando la línea rápida (K) cruza la lenta La línea (D) c) sea larga cuando ambas líneas están por encima de la zona de sobrecompra pero aún no se vuelven más bajas) compran cuando el indicador es fuerte y retestan su extremo) buscan un movimiento fallido en el stoch. d) lok para la divergencia entre la acción del precio y El indicador. RSI: a) comprar cuando RSI cames fuera de oversold territoriob) comprar cuando RSI stall en el 50 linec) comprar cuando el RSI está por encima de los 50 alineados) buscar el patrón de análisis técnico en RSIe) buscar divergencia entre precio de acción y el indicadorMACDa) Comprar cuando la línea MACD está por encima de la lineb de señal) comprar cuando el crossover está por debajo del linec cero) comprar cuando la media móvil cruzar por encima del cero alineado) busque la divergencia entre la acción del precio y el indicatore) buscar patrón de análisis técnico en el histograma. Si los inversionistas de bonos crecen cautelosos sobre el futuro de la economía, pondrán dinero en bonos a largo plazo, calculan que si la economía está entrando en recesión, la tasa de interés probablemente caerá, por lo que el movimiento inteligente es comprar a largo plazo a más alto - Las notas de rendimiento aumentarán en valor cuando la tasa de caída, también los recortes de tasas de inflación de dumpen un factor clave para los inversores de bonos. Día de distribución: cuando el mercado está abajo más de 0,2 en volumen más alto que la sección anterior, después de 4 o 5 días de distribución durante unas semanas el mercado puede rodar. Siga a través de: típico ocurre cuando uno de los índices sube 1,7 o más en volumen pesado en el cuarto día de un rally intentado o más adelante. Macd nuevos altos y nuevos mínimos suelen ser seguidos por nuevos precios altos o nuevos mínimos. Es Un registro de nuevos mínimos para el histograma MACD de los últimos 3 meses muestran que los precios más bajos probablemente por delante. Compra cuando MACD histograma tick up desde su segundo fondo, más superficial, mientras que los precios están en nuevos mínimos (parada por debajo de los últimos mínimos) En la semana no tiene que esperar a finales de semana, la tendencia principal puede cambiar durante la semana. Utilice el Histograma Macd con líneas de tendencia de bandas (busque divergencia). 3/10/16 LBR 4/35/100 13/26/9 19/39/9 toro 6/19/9 5/24/8 toro 5/34 / 5 bull Consenso alcista: Cuando el consenso alcista cae a 20 significa que 20 de los comerciantes son largos y 80 son cortos. Dado que el número de contratos largos / cortos son siempre iguales, un toro promedio tiene cuatro veces más contratos que los que tiene el oso promedio. Muestra que el dinero grande está en el lado largo. Utilice Elliott, gann, fibs RSI para el precio de confluencia Gann trabajo mejor con una tendencia a la baja. Bull / Bear trampa cuando un mercado no seguir a través de la dirección de una señal de gráfico buscar un fuerte movimiento en la dirección opuesta de la ruptura La banda opuesta a su vez al final de una pierna hasta los indicadores de uso para confirmar las etiquetas de la banda (Indicador de tipo de volumen) cerca fuera de las bandas son a veces continuaciones no reversión caminar las bandas Método 1) el esfuerzo, la falsificación de la cabeza (utilizar la entrada proactiva con la pérdida de parada) la ruptura de la volatilidad Método 2: Inversión de tendencia superior / inferior M, W (buscar tres o más empujes clásicos) 9RSI 40B. B.2S. D. 14 50 2,1 B. B 10ma S. D. De 2 a 1,9 50ma S. D. 2 a 2.1 Tipos de indicadores: (evitar la colinealidad) Momentum: R. O.C., Stoch. Tendencia: Regresión lineal, MACD Volumen: Money Flow, Accumul. Distrib., On balance Overbought de volumen, sobreventa: RSI Commodity Channel 2 puntos suben en 100000volume 20000, pero 2 puntos suben en 25000volume 50000 viendo la apertura de verificación ayer más activo, ver si se abren más o menos, para pistas sobre la tendencia del mercado si Una acción es difícil de comprar, las posibilidades de que las garrapatas que se compra es mayor que si el stock es fácil de comprar Explote a la parte superior: tienen mejores posibilidades en la continuación si el cierre del día anterior es un día de descanso Brecha de Mercado: Cuando las brechas de alza superan los 40 días anteriores (N 99), 46 de ellos no se cierran durante la jornada. Cuando los huecos de desventaja exceden 40 del rango de días previos (N 81), 40 de ellos van sin llenar. En resumen: aproximadamente la mitad de las grandes brechas de apertura no se llenan durante la acción de los próximos días. A la inversa, cuando las brechas de alza o bajada son inferiores a 40 de los últimos días (N 717), sólo 144 de ellos no se cargan. Cuando los intervalos son menores que 20 del rango de los últimos días (N 431), sólo 51 de ellos se rellenan. De lo contrario, 80-90 de intervalos relativamente pequeños se rellenarán durante la acción de los próximos días. Curiosamente, las brechas de apertura grandes se asocian con los rangos de comercio diario más grande. Cuando los precios se agrupan alrededor de la baja del día en una tendencia alcista y en torno a su alta en una tendencia a la baja --- la tendencia de inversión está comenzando La línea D es más importante Leer más de 80 indican que los precios se está cerrando cerca de su alta Cerca de su baja Normalmente K cambiará de dirección antes de D, sin embargo, cuando D cambia de dirección antes de K una inversión lenta y constante se indica Cuando ambos K, línea D dirección de cambio más rápido K línea cambio de dirección para volver a probar un cruce de la línea D, Cruzarlo, el indicador confirma la estabilidad de la inversión anterior. El movimiento de gran alcance está en curso cuando el indicador alcanza el extremo 0, 100 después de un retroceso en el precio, el indicador vuelve a probar el punto de entrada del extremo bueno se indica el uso del ciclo de 18 días estocástico de período 9 (intente con el período más corto, 19k 10d 14k 30d 39k 1d 7k 4d 3/10/16 LBR La diferencia entre la cabeza y la parte superior del hombro y la parte inferior son el volumen, no confíe en una ruptura de un fondo H a S a menos que haya un volumen alto. longer and flatter, volume tend to be less at bottom then top Broadening formation only happen at tops, apparently the circumstances that create a BF do not appear after a prolonged decline Measure leg up and down move LBR Check vix with trin for directional clue Wacht different currency market for possible set up ROC 2,4, periods LBR CCI 10ma LBR ADX 10 ADX 30 do not fade the market, ADX A Review of the 1980s To fully understand the dramatic turns in the financial markets that started in 1980, its necessary to know something about the 1970s. That decade witnessed a virtual explosion in commodity markets, which led to spiraling inflation and rising interest rates. From 1971 to 1980, the Commodity Research Bureau (CRB) Index-which is a basket of commodity prices-appreciated in value by 250 percent. Bond yields rose by 150 percent during the same period and, as a result, bond prices declined. Long-term rates rose with commodities during the inflationary 1970s and fell with them during the disinflationary 1980s. The 1970s were not good for stocks, either. The Dow Jones Industrial Average started the decade near 1,000 and ended the decade at about the same level. In the middle of that 10-year period of stock market stagnation, the Dow lost almost half its value. The 1970s were a decade for tangible assets paper assets were out of favor. By the end of the decade, gold prices had soared to over 700 per ounce. A weak dollar during that period also contributed to the upward spiral in gold and other commodity prices-as well as the relative weakness in bonds and stocks. All this started to change in 1980, when the bubble burst in the commodity markets. The plunge in this ratio during the 1970s reflected the superior performance by gold and other hard assets in that inflationary decade. The ratio bottomed in 1980 after gold peaked. The Dow then bottomed in 1982. COMMODITIES PEAK IN 1980 In late 1980, the bubble in commodity prices suddenly burst. The CRB Index started to fall from a record level of 330 points-and began a 20-year decline during which it lost half of its value. During these same 20 years, gold prices fell from 700 to 250, losing over 60 percent of their value. (It was not until after the stock market peak in 2000 that gold prices started to show signs that their twenty-year bear hibernation had ended.) The 1980 peak in commodity markets ended the inflationary spiral of the 1970s and ushered in an era of falling inflation (or disinflation) that lasted until the end of the twentieth century. Figure 1.3 shows the dramatic rally in a number of commodity indexes during the 1970s and the major peak that occurred in 1980. Commodity prices declined for the next 20 years. Another financial market made a big turn in 1980 that had a lot to do with the big peak in commodities: the U. S. dollar. DOLLAR BOTTOMS IN 1980 The U. S. dollar hit a major bottom in 1980 and doubled in price over the next five years. One of the key inter market relationships involved is the inverse relationship between commodity prices and the U. S. dollar. A falling dollar is inflationary in nature, and usually coincides with rising commodity prices (especially gold). A rising dollar has the opposite effect and is bearish for commodities and gold. This is why the significant upturn in the U. S. currency in 1980 was such an important ingredient in the historic turn from hyperinflation to disinflation that characterized the next 20 years. (Starting in year 2002, a major decline in the U. S. dollar contributed to a major upturn in gold and other commodities.) BONDS BOTTOM IN 1981 Another key inter market relationship has to do with bond and commodity prices. They trend in opposite directions. Rising commodity prices (like those seen in the 1970s) signal rising inflation pressure, which puts upward pressure on interest rates and downward pressure on bond prices. (Bond prices and bond yields trend in opposite directions.) Commodity prices often change direction ahead of bonds, which also makes them leading indicators of bonds at important turning points. At the start of the 1980s, it took a year for the drop in commodities to push the bond market higher. During the second half of 1981, bond yields peaked near 15 percent. They fell to half that level (7 percent) within five years, which caused a major upturn in bond prices. The tide had turned. The stock market, which had been held back for a decade by rising interest rates, soon got an enormous boost from falling bond yields (and rising bond prices). STOCKS BOTTOM IN 1982 During the summer of 1982, within a year of the bond market bottom, the biggest bull run in stock market history started-and lasted for almost two decades. The fact that the bond market bottomed ahead of stocks is also part of the normal pattern. The bond market has a history of turning ahead of stocks and is therefore viewed as a leading indicator of the stock market. The intermarket scenario had completely reversed itself at the start of the 1980s. Hard assets (like commodities) were in decline, while paper assets (bonds and stocks) were back in favor. This turning point was one of the clearest examples of how intermarket relationships play out. Notice that four different market groups were involved: currencies, commodities, bonds, and stocks. All four played a major role as the inflationary 1970s ended and the disinflationary 1980s began. Lets review the groundrules for how the financial markets normally interact with each other, which form the basis for our intermarket work. HOW THE FOUR MARKET GROUPS INTERRELATE Intermarket analysis involves the simultaneous analysis of the four financial markets-currencies, commodities, bonds, and stocks. It is how these four markets interact with each other that gives them their predictive value. Here is how they interrelate: The U. S. dollar trends in the opposite direction of commodities A falling dollar is bullish for commodities a rising dollar is bearish Commodities trend in the opposite direction of bond prices Therefore, commodities trend in the same direction as interest rates Rising commodities coincide with rising interest rates and falling bond prices Falling commodities coincide with falling interest rates and rising bond prices Bond prices normally trend in the same direction as stock prices Rising bond prices are normally good for stocks falling bond prices are bad Therefore, falling interest rates are normally good for stocks rising rates are bad The bond market, however, normally changes direction ahead of stocks A rising dollar is good for U. S. stocks and bonds a falling dollar can be bad A falling dollar is bad for bonds and stocks when commodities are rising During a deflation (which is relatively rare), bond prices rise while stocks fall The list sums up the key intermarket relationships between the four market groups-at least as they are in a normal inflationary or disinflationary environment, the likes of which existed during the second half of the last century. This held up especially well during the 1970s, the 1980s, and most of the 1990s. With a basic understanding of intermarket relationships, it is easier to see how well the markets followed that script at the start of the 1980s. A rising dollar led to falling commodities, which led to rising bond prices, which led to rising stock prices. Things stayed pretty much this way until 1987. 1987 STOCK MARKET CRASH REVISITED The stock market crash during the second half of 1987 was an even more dramatic example of the necessity for intermarket awareness. It happened swiftly and the results were dramatic and painful. Those who ignored the action in related markets during the first half of that year were blindsided by the market collapse during the second half. As a result, they sought out scapegoats like program trading and portfolio insurance (futures-related strategies that can exaggerate stock market declines) to explain the carnage. While these two factors no doubt added to the steepness of the stock market decline, they did not cause it. The real explanation for the stock market crash that year is much easier to explain, but only if viewed from an intermarket perspective. It started in the bond and commodity pits in the spring of that year. COMMODITIES RISE, BONDS FALL DURING SPRING OF 1987 During the four years after 1982, two of the main supporting factors behind the stock market advance were falling commodity prices (low inflation) and rising bond prices (falling interest rates). In 1986, both of those markets started to level off commodities stopped going down and bond prices stopped going up. The intermarket picture did not really turn dangerous, however, until the spring of 1987. In April of that year, the CRB Index of commodity prices turned sharply higher and broke out to the highest level in a year. At the same time, bond prices went into a virtual freefall. (Rising commodity prices usually produce lower bond prices.) These intermarket trend changes removed two of the bullish props under the stock market advance and gave an early warning that the market rally was on weak footing. CRB Index rising above a neckline (a trendline drawn over previous peaks) in the spring of 1987 (which completed a bullish head and shoulders bottom) just as bond prices were falling under the lower trendline in a yearlong triangular pattern-a bad combination for stocks since it suggested that rising inflation was pushing interest rates higher. STOCK MARKET PEAKS IN AUGUST The stock market rally continued for another four months into August 1987 before finally peaking. The fact that bond prices peaked four months ahead of stocks demonstrates the tendency for bonds to turn ahead of stocks. Again, bonds are considered to be leading indicators of stocks. Bonds fulfilled their role as a leading indicator of stocks. By October, bond yields had climbed above 10 percent. Probably more than any other factor, this jump in interest rates to double-digit levels caused the October stock market crash. In addition, the U. S. dollar played a role. DOLLAR FALLS WITH STOCKS The dollar, which had been declining earlier in the year, started a rebound in May that lasted into the summer. This rebound ended in August as the stock market peaked. Both markets then fell together. A second rally attempt by the dollar during October also failed, and its subsequent plunge coincided almost exactly with the stock market crash. Consider the sequence of events going into the fall of 1987. Commodity prices had turned sharply higher, fueling fears of renewed inflation. At the same time, interest rates soared to double digits. The U. S. dollar suddenly went into freefall (fueling even more inflation fears). Is it any wonder that the stock market finally ran into trouble Given all of the bearish activity in the surrounding markets, it is surprising that the stock market held up as well as it did for as long as it did. There were plenty of reasons why the stock market should have sold off in late 1987. Most of those reasons were visible in the action of surrounding financial markets-like commodities and bonds-but not necessarily in the stock market itself. The events of 1987 provide a textbook example of how intermarket linkages work. That traumatic market year also makes a compelling argument as to why stock market participants need to monitor the other three financial markets. THE 1987 MARKET CRASH WAS GLOBAL Another important lesson of 1987 is the fact that the market crash was global in scope-world markets fell together. This is important for two reasons. First, it is a dramatic demonstration of how global stock markets are linked. Second, it shows that world stock markets become even more closely linked during serious downturns than they are normally. At such times, global diversification becomes a myth. (The same phenomenon of a global bear market in stocks is apparent starting in 2000.) Global linkages are not limited to stock markets, either. Foreign currencies are linked to the U. S. dollar. Trends in inflation and deflation (which are reflected in commodity prices) are global. There is another lesson having to do with the global nature of the 1987 stock market crash. Many market observers at the time took the narrow view that various futures-related strategies-like program trading and portfolio insurance-actually caused the selling panic. They reasoned that there did not seem to be any economic or technical justification for the stock market collapse. The fact that the equity crash was global in nature, and not limited to the U. S. market, argued against such a narrow view, especially since most foreign markets at the time were not affected by program trading or portfolio insurance. LATER EXAMPLES OF GLOBAL LINKAGES During the Iraq crisis of 1990 and again in 2003, rising energy prices slowed global economic growth and contributed to weakness in all of the worlds major stock markets. The rise in oil prices during 1990 also pushed interest rates higher all over the world and once again showed how global interest rates rise and fall together. After 1998, a close correlation developed between falling global interest rates-including those in the United States-and a falling Japanese stock market, which was caught in the grip of deflation. THE DOLLARS IMPACT CAN BE DELAYED Of the four financial markets used in intermarket work, the dollar is probably the most difficult to fit into a consistent intermarket model. Long delays between trend changes in the dollar and other markets are part of the reason for that. The events leading up to 1987 provide a good example of why this is so. After rallying for five years, the dollar started to drop in 1985, largely due to the Plaza Accord, a five-nation agreement designed to drive down the price of the dollar. Normally, a falling dollar would give a boost to commodity prices. But this boost did not come-at least not right away. Bond prices and commodity prices move in opposite directions Falling dollars boosted commodity and hurts bonds and stocks Bonds peak ahead of stocks: generally a leading market indicator Gold and oil prices move in the opposite direction Commodity affect the direction of bonds prices, bonds prices affect the direction of stocks prices Falling bond yields (rising bond prices) are negative for equity Bond market usually precede turn in the stock market by several months, a bottom in commodities prices, precede a top in bonds prices, which is followed by a top in stocks prices, commodities turn first, bonds second, stocks last Utility stocks are driven by interest rates as a result track bonds prices closely, when falling bonds prices utility (and financials) stocks suffer Negative influence of rising commodities on stocks holds true during inflationary and disinflationary periods but not necessarily during a deflation, in a deflation rising commodities are generally good for stocks Stagflation is an economic situation in which inflation and economic stagnation occur simultaneously Disinflation is a decrease in the rate of inflation Deflation is the opposite of inflation . REITS were top performing when the Nasdaq was tumbling, they are high dividend yields, they show a low correlation with the stock market expecially with tech stocks Copper(and Aluminum) is a barometer of economic strength, when copper peaks and the 10year t note start to drop (inverted yeld curve) sign of economy slow down Copper up treasury bonds down Copper down, Utility up bonds up a bottom in Copper can be view as bearish for bonds, rising industrial metal are associated with stronger economic conditions as are higher interest rate, there is a tendency for metal and interest rate to trend in the same direction Bonds (treasury)yield (interest rates)and commodities (CRB) prices they normally trend in the same directions, and are negatively correlated to bounds prices Major decoupling of bound and stocks normally take place in a deflationary environment Commodities do well when bonds and stock are doing badly, bound are positively correlated to stocks CRB index up (yield up/bounds down) EURO index up US dollar index down SPX down When commodities are rising the U. S. dollar is usually falling foreign currency market usually rise along with commodity markets, (falling dollar rising gold market) Bonds prices(30 year us treasury) peaked in October 1998 recession followed within 27 months CRB index peaked in October 2000 six months after stocks, and two years after bonds SPX500 peaked in march 2000 predicting a recession within nine months historically bonds prices tend to act as leading indicator for stocks for major top and bottom lead time can be as long as a year when deflation is the main threat stock and commodities became closely correlated rising commodities prices can be good for stocks, soaring commodities prices are bad, falling commodities prices can be good for stocks, collapsing commodities prices are bad for stocks leaderships of energy stocks usually take place near the end of an economic expansion and follows into financials, utilities and staples defencive sectors in a contraction economy Point in economic cycle Sector outperforms Beginning expansion Technology Early expansion Consumer discretionary (retail, autos) Middle expansion Materials Middle-late expansion Industrials Late expansion Energy Beginning contraction Health care Early contraction Consumer staples (food, household items) Middle-late contraction Utilities Late contraction Financials The Dow industrial and the Dow transport must move up together (while the industrial company manufacture the goods the transportation companies move them) rising oil prices are damaging to transport stocks RUT (small cap) normally outperform the Dow and the SPY at bottoms when the economy is coming out of a recession (also cyclical start to outperform staples) Cycle stage: Recession Early Recovery Recovery Early Recession consumer expectation reviving rising declining falling sharply industrial production bottoming rising flat falling interest rate falling bottoming rising peaking yield curve normal steep flattening inverted Spring of 2000 bond price decoupled from the stock market for the next 3 years due to deflationary environment, the plunge of long term rates give boast to real estate stock and homebuilder stocks, the Reits also benefited due to a falling nasdaq and also falling interest rates Nasdaq up Reits down Reits up 10 year Treasury note yield down Real estate to interest rate link does not always hold up like in the 30s and 70 the link to inflation appear to have been much greater than the link to interest rates the collapse in real estate coincided with falling interest rates 10 years treasury note up Homebuilders stocks down Housing and real estate are counter cyclical raising rate may not be good for the housing sector Yield bond price discount interest rate (TNX) (bond price shrinks as demand goes up) equity down / yield down Leading (liquidity driven) utilities: electric telephones natural gas financials: brokers banks insurance saving amp loans reits homebuilders containers packaging consumer non durable: beverage household goods/ houseware tobacco personal care foods restorants footware textile manufactures transports: airlines truckers railroads air freight consumer durable: auto /parts furniture/ appliances building materials containers metal/ glass leisure /entertainment hotels waste managements Lagging Leaders (earning driven) mining oil oil drillers basic industries: papers chemical steels heavy machinery most technology: computer manufactoring electronics semi EU (interest rate up) US (down) oil (up) EU (interest rate down or the same) US (up) oil (down) uso/spy (neg divergence) Tech/ Oil-- lowest correlation Fin/ Consumer Discretional --highest correlation Interest rate sensitive stocks tend to increase in price as interest rates fall and decline when interest rates rise. Home builders, mortgage lenders and mortgage real estate investment trusts (REITs ) are particularly sensitive to rates changes. Interest Rate Sensitive Stocks Sector Sample Stocks Banks Bank of America (BAC ), Citigroup (C ) and American Express (AXP ) Home Builders Lennar (LEN ), KB Home (KBH ) and Pulte Homes (PHM ) Mortgage Lenders Washington Mutual (WM ) and Golden West Financial (GDW ) REITS Equity Office Properties Trust (EOP ) Vornado Realty Trust (VNO ) Mortgage REITs Annaly Mortgage Management (NLY ) and Newcastle Investment (NCT ) Title companies LandAmerica Financial Group (LFG ), First American (FAF ) and Fidelity National Financial (FNF ) Utilities Ameren (AEE ), DPL (DPL ) and Southern Company (SO ) Utility are sensitive are interest sensitive stocks usually lead as a new bull market starts. Inflationary group: (yearly trends, ratio between. ) Oil, Aluminium, Mines, Gold Deflationary group:liquid issues. Financials, Saving and Loans, Property casual insurer, Utility. (when the ratio is rising the inflation sensitive groups (lagging stocks)are leading-outperforming the deflationary issues ie:leading stocks) Divergence between Bank stocks RS momentum /and oil RS momentum also computer/ financials bank/aluminium Brokerage tend to led the market at tops and bottoms basic material consumer services consumer goods consumer staple consumer discretionary energy financials health care industrial technology telecomunication utilities 13 economics indicators: PMI purchasing managers index above 50 expanding economy below contraction last business day of every month 10 am est time CCI consumer confidence index last tuesday of every month 10 am CPI consumer price index core cpi 13 of every month 8,30 est. Durable goods orders - an increase in number demand is strengthening could result in rising production and employment 26 every months 8,30 est Employment situation Non farm payroll indicator - first fryday of every month 8.30 am est Existing home sales -25 of every month 10 am est GDP Gross domestic product third or fourth week of every month -8.30 am healthy between 2-2.5 with unemployment around 5.5 New home sales Philadelphia Fed - above 50 expansion third thurday of every month 10 am est PPI producer price index excluding food and energy -11 of every month 8,30 est Retail sales (goods) - 12 every month 8,30 est International trades (strong reports bullish for us dollar) 30 of nyse stocks are influenced by the bond market to complete understand the financial markets we need to follow the CRB / BOUNDS ratio when commodity outperform bounds normally inflation raise, copper, oil stocks are generally a good economic indicator if the bonds are weak generally the stocks are also weak, when bounds are up is good for the stocks stocks tend to lead the commodity: Pcu equity lead the copper futures when bonds get weaker the financial sector get weaker divide the sector by ths sampp to find relative strenght to the the market by John J. MurphyAugust 8, 2007 8211 9:44 am Would you believe something as mundane as a rainstorm in New England can affect the value of the Dollar It8217s true. The US Dollar is subject to numerous influences, from politics to Walmart, and everything in between. The following list contains 50 factors that affect the value of the US dollar, both big and small. Balance of trade and investment The balance of trade and investment is often cited by analysts as the most important influence on the value of the dollar, with good reason. The balance of trade, related to the current account, represents the difference between what the US exports and imports in terms of goods and services. The balance of investment, or financial account, represents the difference in exports and imports of capital. If exports exceed imports, in either the current account or financial account, it is called a surplus. When imports exceed exports, on the other hand, it is referred to as a deficit. The following points elaborate on how the current account and financial account affect the USD. Balance of trade . Otherwise known as the current account balance, the trade balance is equal to the difference between imports and exports. The US has been running a trade deficit with the rest of the world for most of recent memory. At 2 billion a day and growing, the trade deficit is making foreign investors increasingly nervous and can affect the dollar significantly. Falling prices on foreign goods . When the prices of foreign goods decrease, they become more attractive to American consumers, creating a larger trade deficit. Conversely, a rise in the prices of foreign goods, through natural price inflation or because or increased demand, can make American goods look more attractive and help to narrow the trade deficit. This also supports American industry and the economy. All of this serves to help the dollar. Balance of investment . When the US imports more than it exports, it means investors from other countries have to buy US assets to keep the dollar from falling. Simply stated, if the US imports more than it exports, foreign investors must buy dollar-denominated assets like bonds or treasury securities in order to offset the difference. Government policies often have a great impact on the value of the dollar. Savvy foreign investors know to keep an eye on the state of our political affairs, especially as they impact the strength of our economy and our ability to service the national debt. Budget deficit and national debt . The US government8217s budget can affect the dollar8217s value, too. If foreign investors see that the government is spending more money than it currently has, they know that it will be forced to borrow from future generations as well as from the private sector from foreign entities. The US national debt currently stands at 9 trillion and is growing by over 1 billion per day. Little or no default on debt . When the government keeps a good credit history, risk goes down and the dollar goes up. Fortunately, the US is currently considered the worldrsquos most credit-worthy borrower, which in large part explains why the dollar has remained strong. President8217s popularity . Often, the popularity of the US president is tied to the value of the dollar. Experts debate whether or not the two have an effect on each other, but reports point out that quotinternational investors like to a see a strong U. S. executive because they prefer a single national decider setting the agenda and fear a fractious, parochial Congress. quot Terrorist attacks and war . Attacks damage consumer and business confidence, hampering economic growth. They also increase the likelihood of war, and consequently, a budget deficit to support associated spending. An ongoing war can quickly become expensive. It makes investors nervous because it will likely increase our national debt, and slightly increase the risk of default. Geopolitical events . Anything that could be seen as precipitating a conflict or foreign involvement can affect the dollar negatively. The value isn8217t necessarily about what it8217s actually worth, but rather what investors think it8217s worth. Perception is often reality in the forex markets. Consistent policies . If investors feel that things will largely stay the same, they8217ll flock to the dollar because it8217s a safe bet. This increases demand and thus, the value of the dollar. Remember, unlike many other investment vehicles, forex is hurt by volatility. This is especially true with regard to financial policy: if investors believe US policy is on the right track, they8217ll want to put money in dollar-denominated investments. Conversely, investors can lose faith in an economy that can change with new policies, so they8217ll see the dollar as less of a safe bet. Government expansion . New departments and increased government functions cost money, too. Like other government expenses, expanding or creating new groups like the TSA and the Department of Homeland Security can lower the dollar8217s value due to their opportunity cost against other expenses in the budget. Elections . Confidence in or wariness of a new administration can cause investors to flock to or flee from the dollar. Also, as new members of Congress are elected, new laws are passed which can affect our economy. Foreign investors may react positively or negatively to these changes, affecting the dollar8217s value. Tax cuts for consumers . Tax cuts for consumers fuel spending, which can improve the economy of our country as well as others, like China. This can be good for the dollar as long as it does not deepen the trade deficit or our budget deficit. On the other hand, increases in taxes discourage personal spending, but they help with government spending and debt. This can slow the economy, but at the same time lessen our deficits. Political impact on the dollar does not originate entirely from the US it can come from all over the world. Trade, conflict, consumption, and other issues can affect the dollar from outside our country. Turmoil in other countries . When other countries are in a state of conflict, their respective currencies may be perceived as unstable. In this case, investors may flock to the dollar because it is considered a safer bet. Stability in other countries . On the other hand, if other countries are consistent in their policy-making as well as politically and economically stable, the dollar may weaken because investors have more confidence in these alternative currencies. They8217ll see them as less risky and diversify into non-dollar denominated assets. A change in foreign reserves . The USD benefits strongly from being the worldrsquos reserve currency. Most central banks hold more dollars than any other currency, but the dollar faces problems when they decide to diversify their currency investments. This could mean that they sell dollars, or simply just stop buying more. This is especially damaging when a large purchaser like China decides to stop adding to its foreign reserves. A strengthening Euro . The dollar faces competition from the rising Euro. It8217s an attractive alternative to the dollar when investors choose to diversify or if the dollar becomes unstable. Acceptance of oil in dollars . As long as the majority of world oil contracts are settled in USD, other countries have to use the currency. This increases demand for the dollar and therefore, its value. Additionally, most oil exporters hold a significant portion of their oil proceeds in dollars. Strong foreign economies . If other countriesrsquo economies are booming, the dollar may fall because it will become a relatively less attractive place to invest. As a significant government expense, entitlement programs can have a large impact on the way investors view the value of the dollar. If it looks like the US is letting things get out of hand, these programs can shake the confidence of investors. These are a few of the programs and issues that affect the dollar. Social Security . It8217s apparent to Americans and foreigners alike that Social Security is a sinking ship that will only get worse with time. Clearly, this causes investors to lose faith in the US money management system, but when the US works to reform the program, some of this confidence is restored and the dollar can benefit. Medicare/Medicaid . Like other costly entitlements, government sponsored-health care programs are becoming difficult to maintain, which could drive investors to seek countries with more stable budgets. The laws of supply and demand are ever-present in economics, and currency trading offers a prime example of this law in action. These are a few of the effects that supply and demand exert on the value of the dollar. Demand for dollars . This factor can be tied to most others, but it can function on its own as well. Por ejemplo. quotif French investors saw an opportunity in the U. S. they might be willing to pay more francs in order to get dollars to invest in the U. S.quot More francs per dollar means the dollar8217s value has risen. Demand for physical currency outside the US . Some countries accept dollars as a physical currency. so they need a supply. Por ejemplo. quotlarge international demand for US currency bills in the 1990s gave the US government a unique and inexpensive-to-produce export. quot Although it requires supplying more currency, this is a factor that can strengthen the dollar8217s value. Increase in money supply . With every new dollar printed, each one is valued less than before. The more dollars there are in circulation, the less the currency is valued because the supply has been increased. In practice, this usually causes inflation, which directly eats into the value of the dollar. While this would seem difficult to measure, the Federal Reserve periodically publishes M2 and M3 data reports on the US money supply. Just like consumers might shop around for the highest-yielding savings account, foreign investors look for the best deal in currencies. Here8217s how interest rates affect the dollar8217s value. Rise in interest rates . Higher interest rates mean more profit for investors, so a US rate hike will generally strengthen the dollar. In the long-term, however, the law of interest rate parity dictates that currency valuations and interest rates should move in opposite directions. The opposite also holds true. If the Fed lowers interest rates, investors might drop the dollar in the short-term because there8217s not enough profit in it. Attractive interest rates in other countries . Regardless of whether US interest rates are rising or falling, the dollar8217s value also depends on how US interest rates stack up to those of other countries. If US rates are lower, investors may switch to different currencies that can offer a better return. On the other hand, if other currencies have unattractive interest rates, that allows us to entice investors with a better deal. News about interest rates . Investors like to be ahead of the game, so if news of an interest rate hike or fall is released, the dollar may fluctuate in response to the coming inflow or outflow of investments that are expected to happen in the future. American consumers have the most at stake in the dollar8217s value. A fall in the dollar makes consumers8217 money worth comparatively less, putting a squeeze on the budgets of the Average Joe. Yet there are several things that consumers do that serve to drive down the buying power the dollar. Here8217s how Americans do it. Consumer savings . Americans aren8217t big on savings. In fact, most families have a negative net worth. While this has contributed to a strong economy in the short-term, it means the US is ill equipped to support the economy in the long-term. Additionally, negative domestic savings drives us to import foreign savings, which harms the dollar. Gas prices . Rising gas prices leave consumers with less money to spend elsewhere, or worse, drive them to borrow money to keep up their standard of living. The Walmart/Honda factor . When Americans buy foreign goods like items at Walmart or Honda cars, we contribute to an economy that supports more imports than exports. This creates a trade deficit that weakens the dollar. Slow spending . Just as too much spending can hurt the dollar, too little spending can have a negative effect as well. Analysts report that when we hit a slow shopping season, quotthe Fed might see that as a sign of consumer fatigue and choose to cut rates in an attempt to stimulate growth. That could hurt the dollar. quot Recently, we8217ve seen how a housing boom and subsequent bust can cause problems for families, investors and lenders in the form of defaulted loans and drops in the value of homes. These same issues cause problems for the dollar, too. Slow housing market . A slow housing market creates a domino effect. Sellers are forced to lower their asking prices, which creates a decline in household spending and results in slowed economy growth, all of which hurts the dollar. Strong housing market . A growing, steady housing market builds the equity and net worth of home owners, spurring spending and growing our economy. This supports the dollar. Overinflated housing market . This kind of housing market results in a fall of equity and personal wealth, but it doesn8217t stop there it makes the dollar fall as well, as the effect of declining home prices ripples throughout the economy. Industry and economic indicators American industry both affects and reacts to the value of the dollar. When the dollar falls, our goods become cheaper and more attractive. However, when we have a strong dollar, our industries have to compete harder against cheaper foreign labor and goods. Low growth in manufacturing . Manufacturing levels serve as an indicator for the health of the US economy. An industry slowdown means a general slowing in the economy and can cause investors to become wary of the dollar. Strong manufacturing growth . Conversely, strong manufacturing growth can indicate that the economy is picking up, creating a more attractive dollar. Outsourcing . Outsourcing creates a trade deficit and causes US employment to suffer, resulting in a fall of the dollar. However, outsourcing also makes US companies more profitable and more attractive targets for foreign investment. Entrepreneurship . Entrepreneurship creates attractive investment opportunities for foreign investors, supporting a stronger dollar. Employment growth . Like manufacturing growth, employment growth is a good indicator for the overall health of the economy. Positive employment growth will attract more investors and create a stronger dollar. Unnaturally high unemployment causes the dollar to drop because the government loses tax revenue that could help with the deficit. It also takes consumer purchasing power away, which causes the economy to suffer. Wage data . Higher or lower wages can either attract or scare off investors, creating a fluctuation in the dollar8217s value. US capital markets US stocks, bonds, and other investments can be appealing no matter where you are in the world. The performance of US capital markets can either attract or reduce foreign investment, which directly affects the dollar. Bear markets . Falling values create investment losses that shake investor confidence and cause them to diversify or liquidate their portfolios, resulting in a loss for the dollar if the diversification involves an exodus from dollar-denominated assets. Bull markets . Strong market values have the opposite effect, creating profits that attract new investors and encourage current investors to put more money into dollar-denominated assets. A booming market can attract investors, but it can also cause the dollar to fall when it corrects itself and investors pull out. Accounting scandals . Accounting scandals like Enron can burn investors and cause foreign investment in US stocks to fall. The current performance of the US economy is synonymous with the financial health of our nation. It signals to investors our ability to pay back debts as well as the profit level they may earn. Economic growth and stability . In general, a strong economy will raise confidence, assuring foreign investors that they8217ll earn a good profit on a stable investment. Economic growth is even better, attracting investors who hope that their investment will grow, too. A boom in the economy can cause an investment rush that results in a temporary overvalue of the market. This can lead to a dollar loss when it corrects itself in a slow of the economy. Economic recession . What goes up must come down. A slowing economy hurts the dollar, causing investors to pull out for fear that their investment will lose value. Outperforming other economies . Economic performance is all relative. If the US economy is stronger than others, investors may turn to the dollar as a safe bet. Weather affects the agricultural industry, energy consumption, and local economies. Any change, for better or for worse, can create a ripple affect that impacts the economy as a whole and causes the dollar to fluctuate. Unfavorable farming conditions . Unfavorable farming conditions can result in slow crops and force grocers to turn to other countries to satisfy US agricultural needs. This further opens up the trade deficit and weakens the dollar. Unusually hot summers . An unusually hot summer can cause a rise in energy costs for both consumers and industries. This can create a strain on the economy and cause the dollar to fall. Just like an unusually hot summer can sink the dollar, an excessively cold winter can do the same thing. It can cause energy costs to rise, and since must of our energy is imported, the dollar may be adversely affected. Additionally, consumers will presumably have less disposable income to pour into other areas of the economy. Natural disasters . Natural disasters like Hurricane Katrina create a strain on local economies as well as the local and federal government as we work to repair damage and spend money on relief and rebuilding. This can cause the dollar to struggle. Inflation directly eats into the value of the dollar. The law of purchasing power parity (PPP) holds that a nationrsquos currency and its general price levels should move in opposite directions. Slow in inflation of foreign goods . A slow in inflation of foreign goods keeps prices of those goods steady, allowing American consumers to purchase the same amount or more of the same goods. This does not help to close the trade deficit and can weaken the dollar. News about inflation . Of course, any news about possible inflation of the dollar or foreign goods can cause the foreign exchange market to react preemptively and fluctuate the dollar one way or another. By admin Posted in Features Comments Off on 50 Factors that Affect the Value of the US Dollar August 7, 2007 8211 11:03 am Day trading can be fun and profitable, but it8217s important to arm yourself with knowledge. Take some advice from people who know what they8217re talking about check out these top 100 day trading blogs for advice and analysis on fast paced investment. The Top 10 This list is already a compilation of the 100 top blogs, but these 10 bloggers offer commentary that8217s the best of the best. Maoxian . The Chairman offers Stocks du Jour, analysis and entertaining commentary. Ugly Chart . Ugly Chart believes quotbeauty is in the eye of the shareholder. quot They focus on all time highs and lows. Move The Markets . Move the Markets offers top-notch stock advice and analysis. Seeking Alpha . Seeking Alpha has investment strategy, portfolio management, hedge funds and lots of other resources. 22 Dollars . 22 Dollars gives investment ideas based on both technical and functional analysis. Long or Short Capital . Long or Short Capital offers the lighter side of trading. They encourage readers, quotlet us think for you, since we8217re better at it. quot Footnoted . Footnoted reveals the things companies hide in their SEC filings, giving day traders valuable knowledge. Controlled Greed . This blog considers undervalued stocks and emulates Warren Buffetrsquos idea that quotyou must be animated by controlled greed and fascinated by the investment process. quot The Average Joe . Average Joe encourages readers to be average and make money. The Stock Bandit . The Stock Bandit discusses day trading concepts and strategies as well as trading psychology. Commodities amp Futures Check out these blogs for insight into the commodities and futures markets of minerals, metals, and more. Commodity Trader . Commodity Trader discusses everything from minerals to livestock. Global Gold Perspective . This blog has technical analysis, news and commentary on issues concerning commodities, particularly gold. Gold Stock Bull . Gold Stock Bull has investment strategies that are designed to help you profit in the bull markets of gold, silver and energy. Day Trade Emini . This blog focuses on futures, sharing strategies and highly detailed charts. PureTick . PureTick aims to increase your chances of market survival, providing trading advice and a live audio training room. High Probability Trading . This blog discusses high probability trading, offering charts and a daily summary. Futures Trading . Read about a futures trader8217s personal journey on the SampP e-mini futures. Amibroker Fan . Amibroker Fan discusses futures, interest chart moves and signals. Canadian Silver Bug . Canadian Silver Bug discusses silver as quothonest moneyquot and a hedge against monetary crisis. MineSet . Jim Sinclair comments on gold bullion, silver, and crude oil. Uranium Stocks . Read this blog for help making sense out of investing in mining companies. StockBullz . StockBullz is written by a Canadian investor, highlighting topics on silver, uranium and resource stocks. Options Check out these blogs for observations on options trading and market outcomes. Daily Options Report . Adam Warner offers insightful commentary on options trading. VIX and More . VIX and More discusses options with particular focus on VIX. 1 Option . Read this blog for Pete Stolcers8217 thoughts on option trading and option strategies. Option Addict . Jeff Kohler is a professional trader and instructor for Investools. He8217s also a self-diagnosed option addict. Option Pundit . This blog, for serious traders only, discusses basic, intermediate, and advanced option strategies designed to keep up a consistent income. Options Trading Beginner . Read this blog for the story and insight of an options trader that8217s just starting out. Simply Options Trading . Simply Options Trading discusses options in a way that8217s, you guessed it, simple. You8217ll find stocks to watch, market outlooks, strategy, resources, and more. Condor Options . Condor Options aims to earn returns of 10 every month using iron condors. Check out their strategies for consistent income. Forex Visit these bloggers for a look into foreign exchange currency trading. Day Trade For A Living . This British forex blogger discusses signals and projects. Dismally . David Andrew Taylor takes a look at economic data to consider how it will affect the US dollar in exchange markets. Babypips . Babypips offers lighthearted insight and commentary on the world of Forex trading. Forex Trading Information . Read this blog for the latest information, commentary, and reports in forex markets. Forex Trading Journal . Follow this forex trader8217s day to day strategy as well as his profit and loss. Forex Journey . Todd Judkins shares his journey in online forex trading. You8217ll find tips, strategies, and more. Simon Super Trader . Simon shares his aspiration to become a full time trader as well as his success and failure along the way. Piptopia . Rob Booker discusses trades, book reviews and analysis for forex traders. Forex Blog. On Forex Blog, you8217ll find commentary, a currency converter, and live charts. The Forex Project . Follow this blogger8217s project to trade full time. Read his daily profit and loss tables and graphs to see how well he does. Grace Cheng . Grace Cheng is a regular contributor to trading publications as well as a forex coach. On this blog, you8217ll find her tips for trading and education for advanced traders. No BS Forex . On, this blog, you8217ll find straightforward insight and explanation on the world of forex. HuntFX . Read HuntFX for discussions on trading psychology and Ichimoku Kinko Hyo. FXStreet. FXStreet has up to the minute updates, commentary, and reviews on market developments. FX Instructor . Beginner forex traders should visit this blog for daily technical reviews and mentoring. FX-BAR . Read FX-Bar for news, analysis, commentary and signals. Forex TV Blog . Both beginners and advanced traders can benefit from Forex TV Blog8217s news, analysis and reviews. Peter Bain Forex Trading Commentary . Peter Bain has a knack for creating successful forex trading strategies, and he8217s willing to share his knowledge with you. Currency Secrets . This blog reviews top currency secrets, analysis and specific currency pairs. Forex Forays . Read Forex Forays for reviews of brokers, systems, products and more. Forex Trading Log . For close examination of the markets, particularly of the Aussie dollar, check out the Forex Trading Log. BK Trader FX . Boris and Kathy write about their own trades as well as forex news. A Forex Loser . Take it from this loser, it8217s best to avoid psyching yourself out. Read this blog for insight on how to handle losses in forex. 2Bull Forex . Check out 2Bull Forex for topics like support and resistance, essential reading, indicators and mini accounts. Stocks These blogs cover trading on Wall Street and beyond. How I Day Trade . How I Day Trade tracks the wins and losses of a day trader working in stocks. Afraid to Trade . Corey Rosenbloom attempts to help himself and others get over bad trades and fears to become successful in the market. Alpha Trends . Brian Shannon offers analysis of momentum stocks as well as stocks on the move. Baby Biotechs . Brian at Baby Biotechs analyzes small biotech stocks one at a time. The Wall Street Matator . This bull chaser8217s blog is full of trading strategies, stock chart analysis and more. Stock Market Beat . Stock Market Beat offers a watch list, annual reports, and analysis of companies with active stock. Tradeopolis . Tradeopolis discusses strategies for avoiding burnout, considering value investing, and thriving in a volatile market. Dinosaur Trader . This trader discusses hybrid trades, trends, and CNBC commentary. Deh Trader . This Canadian trader is relatively new to the industry, but he8217s happy to share wins, losses, and insight with readers. Alternative Energy Stocks . Alternative Energy Stocks discusses investing in alternative energy, renewable energy and clean technology. MissTrade . MissTrade works in stocks, options, futures, commodities, and currencies. She8217s been at it for 13 years and has a great deal of insight to share. The Kirk Report . Charles E. Kirk, a pro trader, writes to help the quotlittle guyquot investor and help others learn how to think about stock trading. Diversified Day Trading These bloggers engage in a variety of different types of trades. TraderBubs . Bub used to run a retail jewelry business, but now trades futures and stocks every day. He also tracks earnings from this blog. Ask Jeff Wilde . Jeff Wilde offers day traders education on forex, stocks, and the quotinner gamequot of trading. Mr. Swing . Larry Swing discusses stock picks, technical analysis and charts. Fat Pitch Financials . Fat Pitch Financials covers special situation stocks and value investing. The Capital Spectator . James Picerno takes a look at investments and issues in the economy. Investing Blog . This blog focuses on all types of investments. It8217s a one stop shop for traders interested in forex, stocks, hedge funds, futures and commodities. All You Need to Know About Day Trading . Linda Wainman, author of the quotKeeping It Simple Day Trading System, quot dishes out strategies that are useful for all types of day traders. Rags to Riches The traders in this category have found success, but they have experienced significant struggles along the way. Trader8217s Narrative . Babak had to learn trading the hard way: trial and error. Now he has great knowledge about trading and wants to share it with others. Stock Rake . This blogger trusted others to look after his money, but got burned that way. He8217s done much better managing stocks on his own. Money Mythos . The blogger behind Money Mythos learned about his inadequacies in financial intelligence when he unsuccessfully tried to invest, but he8217s improved his portfolio since them. Guzzo The Contrarian . Michael Guzzo got into stock picking after he realized that he had no idea how to handle his 401(k). He decided to get educated and is now very successful. Changing My Direction . This former engineer went from TPS reports to stock investment. Growth in Value . This blogger went through crashes in the Asian stock markets as well as high tech stocks. Now, he8217s doing much better with value investing. The Dough Roller . The Dough Roller went from a negative net worth to financial independence through investments that include the stock market. Mac8217s Money Blog . Robert McIntosh used to live below the poverty level, but now does well with mutual funds, commodities and individual stocks. Money Smart Life . Ben from Money Smart Life lost a few thousand dollars with the fall of the dot com market, but has learned to diversify. Index Fund Fan . The writer behind Index Fund Fan also got burnt when the dot com bubble burst, but is now successful with his diversified portfolio. The Microcap Speculator . The Microcap Speculator made some bad decisions when he started out, but has realized success by using analysis and risk control. Trader-X . Trader-X didn8217t do so well with options and penny stocks, but he8217s refined his strategy and reached a win rate of 80. TSP Trader . The TSP Trader decided that holding onto funds is for suckers and instead earns more money by paying attention to the market. International Whether you8217re looking for additional forex resources or are interested in overseas markets, these blogs hold a wealth of knowledge. GalaTime . GalaTime blogs about Indian Capital Markets. Investing India . Investing India provides investment advice for India and beyond. StockWeb . StockWeb focuses on Central and Eastern European stock markets and indexes. Deal Street India . This blog covers a number of different topics from commodities to the stock market. Financial Nirvana . Financial Nirvana8217s Indian blog keeps tabs on the Indian stock market, offering information, analysis, and headlines. The Israeli Speculator . This speculator has tips for beginners, tutorials, and lots of analysis. Fairval . Visit Fairval for discussions on Indian stock markets, equities and economy. Investor Trip . Investor Trip offers quotfinancial talk for global investors. quot Check it out for commentary on upcoming trends like uranium and finding undervalued stocks. Contrarians Read these blogs for commentary that goes against the grain. Big Mike8217s Contrarian Investing Blog . Big Mike discusses the stock market, commodities, value investing and more. Contrarian Edge . Contrarian Edge is written by Vitaly Katsenelson, contributor at Financial Times, Minyanville and Motley Fool. Read this blog for content from those publications as well as original analysis. The Peridot Capitalist . The Peridot Capitalist discusses contrarian investment strategies that Peridot Capital Management uses. The Prudent Investor . The Prudent Investor analyzes financial and political news and provides commentary with an ideological slant. The Stalwart . The Stalwart uncovers underreported stories, press follies, bunk analysts, and misleading corporations. WRA Strategies amp Observations . WRA Strategies amp Observations discusses contrarian strategies and current events. By admin Posted in Features Comments Off on Top 100 Day Trading Blogs August 6, 2007 8211 9:05 am Firefox extensions offer increased functionality for many users, and investors are no exception. From chart tools to security, these extensions provide investors with utilities that streamline the process. In this article, we8217ve sorted through the thousands of possible extensions and selected these 13 as investor essentials. For Every Investor These extensions offer tools that can help out just about every investor out there. Sage . An informed investor is a smart investor. Use the Sage feed reader to stay on top of investing news, blogs, and more. This extension boasts customizable styles, feed discovery, support for many different languages, and lots of other useful features. ChartLet . ChartLet offers an easy way for investors to create charts. With this extension, you can set up a chart, then tell ChartLet where to go to extract the data you need. It will then periodically update the information, and you8217ll be able to view it on demand. PermaTabs . Do you have trading sites that you visit and keep up all day Defining them as permanent tabs makes it easy to leave them open at all times. This is especially helpful for users that are prone to accidentally closing tabs, as these pages will stay the same between sessions. FireStox . This extension allows traders to keep an eye on stock values. It can be set to show the value of your complete portfolio or just one stock at a time. When you hover your mouse over the FireStox taskbar, it expands to show you detailed information on all of your stocks, with information on changes, day changes, gains and their respective percents. Pearl Crescent Page Saver . If you like to compile your own historic data on stocks or currencies, you need a convenient way to save this information. That8217s where Page Saver comes in. Using this extension, you can take snapshots of partial or full web pages. These are then saved as images that can be stored on your computer or online. PhishTank SiteChecker . If you8217re making important financial transactions, it8217s important to know that the sites you8217re visiting are really what you think they are. With PhishTank, you8217ll be blocked from visiting known phishing sites. If you8217re sure about a site, you can always view the site in SafeView and turn off the phishing filter. Split Browser . Split Browser allows you to split the area of a browser window to view multiple web pages all on the same tab. This is very useful if you like to compare stocks side by side. You can create as many splits as you like-you8217re only limited by your screen and RAM capacity. Indian Stock Market and Sensex Watcher . With this extension, you8217ll have easy access to Sensex value and more quotes in the future. This value is easily updated by clicking on the value. For Day Traders Day traders need tools that can keep up with their fast-paced movements. These extensions serve up the best and fastest information that Firefox has to offer. AlphaTicker . Keep stock and exchange quotes available in a convenient place: the top of your browser. AlphaTicker keeps a running ticker of stock quotes that can be customized and sped up. You can set how quickly it should update, and how much space to devote to the toolbar. Once a quote is selected, it will open up a new tab that provides detailed data and headlines for that particular stock. Exch . If you like Yahoo Finance exchange data, but would like a faster and easier way to access it, Exch is for you. This extension allows you to fetch forex quotes, providing buy/ask rates and more. With Exch, you8217ll also be able to download charts ranging from 1 day to 5 years. FasterFox . If you8217re in the middle of a hot trade, you don8217t have time to wait for a slow browser. Install FasterFox for browsing in fast forward. With FasterFox, you have the option to create tweaks and test how well they work with a page load time. The extension also includes a popup blocker. StockTickr . StockTickr is a useful tool that allows users to quickly view stock charts for any symbol. For example, if you view a list of ticker symbols that aren8217t links, you8217d normally have to open up a new tab, go to a web site and paste each individual symbol in. With StockTickr, you can just highlight, right click and view the symbols in a stock website of your choice. RSS Ticker . As we noted with Sage, an informed investor is a smart one. But what if you don8217t want to take time out of your day to view each individual feed that you subscribe to You can use the RSS ticker to have feeds flashed at you while you8217re working on something else. If you see something that you8217re interested in, you can hover over it to read a summary. This multitasking extension allows you to filter through headlines without having to go through the time-consuming process of reading and manipulating all of them. By admin Posted in Features Comments Off on 13 Firefox Extensions Every Investor NeedsPureTick Review Visit site Hi, puretick is a real scam and the alex wasielwki is a real pyscho/insane/unprofessional I have never seen. look at this email he writing me. Forward to all how you are a fing liar You make a contract and break it. Looks like you are the loser. How else can you explain that the worlds most successful traders will become partners and coaches here Are you going to tell the world that they have not been superstars People will laugh at you. You still have no excuse. You have a fing contract ass. It is there in front of your s eating face. Now get out of my sight. You disgust me. I hate liars, and people who do not keep their word. All for 125.00 That is pitiful. Who taught you that Your mother or father Why do you have all day to send emails but no time to trade This site and this person need a jail, its a shame for the trading communauty. Review Moderation Team Note: We took the liberty of editing the profanity in the quoted email.